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Ray Dalio, the founder of a successful hedge fund, has popularized the long term debt cycle which says that there we see short term debt cycles laid on top of a long term debt cycle which crashes every 50-100 years.
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The Economy Is Due For A Debt Crash – Long Term Debt Cycle & Credit Crisis
0:50 – Every 8 to 10 years we see an economic crash from the short term debt cycle and every 50 to 100 years we see a long term debt cycle crash
2:25 – The short term debt cycle lays on top of the long term debt cycle that most people don’t even know about
3:30 – How does credit work to create value out of thin air
4:17 – The more money you spend the more money someone else makes
5:52 – When people make more money they are more credit worthy which expands the economy
7:35 – What happens if the economy slows down and people spend less money
9:15 – What happens when you hit a peak on the long term debt cycle and the central bank can’t stimulate the economy
10:55 – What happens during a long term debt cycle crash and credit disappears during the deleveraging phase
11:50 – What happens when the economy enters a deleveraging phase in the economy
13:45 – When does the Fed start printing more money to fight deflation
14:45 – How to balance the printing of money with loss of credit

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You’re in deep with credit cards, student loan debt and car loans. Minimum monthly payments aren’t doing the trick to help nix your debt. Something has to change, and you’re considering debt consolidation because of the allure of one easy payment and the promise of lower interest rates.

What Is Debt Consolidation?
Debt consolidation is the combination of several unsecured debts—payday loans, credit cards, medical bills—into one monthly bill with the illusion of a lower interest rate, lower monthly payment and simplified debt relief plan.

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Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.) defends President Biden’s student loan forgiveness program and criticizes the Texas court stalling it during an exclusive interview with Meet the Press.

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#ElizabethWarren #Biden #StudentDebt

Greece isn’t the only country drowning in debt. The Debt Supercycle—when the easily managed, decades-long growth of debt results in a massive sovereign debt and credit crisis—is affecting developed countries around the world, including the United States. For these countries, there are only two options, and neither is good—restructure the debt or reduce it through austerity measures. Endgame details the Debt Supercycle and the sovereign debt crisis, and shows that, while there are no good choices, the worst choice would be to ignore the deleveraging resulting from the credit crisis. The book: Reveals why the world economy is in for an extended period of sluggish growth, high unemployment, and volatile markets punctuated by persistent recessions Reviews global markets, trends in population, government policies, and currencies

Around the world, countries are faced with difficult choices. Endgame provides a framework for making those choices.

Q&A with Authors John Mauldin and Jonathan Tepper

Author John Mauldin What is the debt supercycle?
Over a period of about sixty years, debt levels grew faster than incomes. This increase in debt became particularly pronounced in the 1980s, 90s and finally went parabolic after the Federal Reserve lowered interest rates to 1% after the Nasdaq crash. The increase in debt was not just a US phenomenon. As interest rates fell structurally with the fall in inflation from 1982 onwards, people took on more debt because it became more manageable. However, by 2008 the burden of debt became too much to bear and the debt supercycle came to an end. People started deleveraging and banks started collapsing due to low levels of capital and large losses from loans people couldn’t pay back.

How does the sovereign debt crisis play into this?
The rapid contraction in debt levels due to default and deleveraging lead to a fall in economic activity as people started saving and cutting spending. Governments immediately stepped in and backed bank debt with explicit guarantees. Governments also started borrowing and spending to transfer money to the private sector, for example via unemployment insurance. So in a very real sense, private borrowing was replaced with public borrowing. Debt was added onto more debt. Rather than free itself of debt, the system now has more debt. The sovereign debt crisis is the recognition that most of this debt will not be paid back, and governments are making promises to pay debt and other obligations, for example general spending and pensions, that they simply lack the ability to fulfill.

Author Jonathan Tepper The end of the debt supercycle and the beginning of the sovereign debt crisis present problems and challenges for investors and governments. Governments will need to either 1) inflate, 2) default or 3) devalue, which is similar to inflate. That is the way governments have historically dealt with too much debt. Some countries will experience deflation and others inflation, depending on what choices governments make. Currently governments have only bad and worse choices. Let’s hope they can choose wisely.

What do you predict for the next ten years?
Central banks globally have shown a predisposition to print money to solve problems. We forsee rising inflation in many parts of the world, reductions in real income as people lose purchasing power due to higher food and fuel prices and more macroeconomic volatility. Some countries that do not control their own money supply or are running pegs may experience deflation as they are forced to delever and cannot increase the money supply to counteract the weight of deleveraging.

You cite the events in Greece as an example of a country continuing to run massive deficits. Is there an example of a country making a better choice?
The UK is making some of the right steps to control spending, but even the UK could be more draconian. In nominal and real terms, government spending in aggregate will not be cut in the UK. Also, Iceland has made positive steps by defaulting on its debt effectively. Default is a good way to cure too much debt.

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Un empresario estadounidense se debate entre ayudar a un niño peruano en situación de pobreza y ayudar al director ejecutivo de su empresa a conseguir más tierras.
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Top Countries by Debt :Debt is an amount of money borrowed by one party from another. Debt is used by many corporations and individuals as a method of making large purchases that they could not afford under normal circumstances. A debt arrangement gives the borrowing party permission to borrow money under the condition that it is to be paid back at a later date, usually with interest.

#top10 #top20 #top10economies

TO TAKE BACK LIFE, ONE MUST FIRST FACE DEATH… One man stripped of his freedom, his morals… his life. Conditioned in captivity to maim, to kill and to slaughter, prisoner 818 becomes an unremorseful, unrivaled and unstoppable fighter in the ring. Violence is all he knows. Death and brutality are the masters of his fate. After years of incarceration in an underground hell, only one thought occupies his mind: revenge… bloody, slow and violent revenge. Revenge on the man who lied. Revenge on the man who wronged him. Revenge on the man who condemned him and turned him into… this: a rage-fueled killing machine. A monster void of humanity; a monster filled with hate. And no one will stand in the way of getting what he wants. ***** One woman stripped of her freedom, her morals… her life. Kisa Volkova is the only daughter of Kirill ‘The Silencer’ Volkov, head of the infamous ‘Red’ bosses of New York’s Russian Bratva. Her life is protected. In reality, it’s a virtual prison. Her father’s savage treatment of his rivals and his lucrative and coveted underground gambling ring—The Dungeon—ensures too many enemies lurk at their door. She dreams to be set free. Kisa has known only cruelty and loss in her short life. As manager of her father’s death match enterprise, only grief and pain fill her days. Her mafiya boss father, in her world, rules absolute. And her fiancé, Alik Durov, is no better: The Dungeon’s five-time champion, a stone-cold killer, the treasured son of her father’s best friend, and her very own—and much resented—personal guard. Unrivaled in both strength and social standing, Alik controls every facet of Kisa’s life, dominates her every move; keeps her subdued and dead inside… then one night changes everything. While working for her church—the only reprieve in her constant surveillance—Kisa stumbles across a tattooed, scarred, but stunningly beautiful homeless man on the streets. Something about him stirs feelings deep within her; familiar yet impossibly forbidden desires. He doesn’t talk. Doesn’t communicate with anyone. He’s a man beyond saving, and a man she must quickly forget… for both their sakes. But when days later, out of the blue and to her complete surprise, he’s announced as the replacement fighter in The Dungeon, Kisa knows she’s in a whole lot of trouble. He’s built, ripped and lethally unforgiving to his opponents, leaving fear in his wake and the look of death in his eyes. Kisa becomes obsessed with him. Yearns for him. Craves his touch. Needs to possess this mysterious man… … this man they call Raze. Dark Contemporary Romance. Contains explicit and non-consensual sexual situations, excessive violence, disturbingly sensitive and taboo subjects, offensive language and mature topics. Recommended for age 18 years and up*

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Education loans are meant to make life easier and more comfortable. But, for me, it backfired. It did the complete opposite of making life easier for me. It just sucked me into a black hole of debt and despair.
My name is Alexandra Blair and this is the story of how I incurred student loan amounting to $1M.
I was the eldest of three siblings raised in an affluent suburb west of Los Angeles. My father, who didn’t finish college, owned a small construction business. My mother, a college graduate, worked mostly as a secretary. I found my true calling while I was still a teenager. Being insecure over my crooked teeth and an irregular jaw line, paved a way towards orthodontics for me.
After high school, I completed my undergraduate degree at a reputed worldwide university in the United States. I paid for my college tuition with money from my parents and by waiting tables at the small, cozy café near the school’s campus.
My parents had helped in paying the college tuition for all of us, that is, for both of my younger siblings too. But, Graduate school wasn’t part of the deal because they were unable to afford it being middle class and all.
I met and married my husband while at the undergraduate school, and graduated debt-free from there. I picked the USC dental school for my higher studies because of its prestige and because I wanted to live closer to my parents. My husband had no problem with it and he was exploring the opportunities in his own start-up business.
The dental school’s financial-aid director estimated that the basic four-year program would require $400,000 to $450,000 in student debt, including interest. My husband and I concluded that dental school was a good investment, given the salary I expected to earn.
I was like, we could make this work. There are certain things that are okay to go into debt for: a house, an education, a car.
So, we packed up for California in the same spirit. I got a job at USC as an administrative assistant, which provided a tuition discount. Our calculations were partly based on low interest rates that the federal government had set for students at the time. In the 2004-2005 school year, the rate for college and graduate students was 2.77%.
The following school year, which was my first year at USC, rates jumped to 4.75% for my loans. Those turned out to be the cheapest of the 50 loans I needed to finance my education. Unlike consumer loans for cars or homes, college students typically take out multiple loans each year—often at different interest rates, depending on what is available.

They don’t come much cheekier than Tommy. This 20-year-old bank clerk is a self-confessed shopping addict. In the two years since he started working, he’s managed to land himself with a credit card debt of £14,500, a monstrous debt which is eating up his modest take-home salary of £10,000. Tommy’s passion for the high life has plunged him deep into the red.

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